The stock price is currently $110. Over each of the next two six-month periods, it is expected to go up by 12% or down by 12%. The risk-free interest rate is 8% per annum with continuous compounding. What is the value of a one-year European call option with a strike price of $100?
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HIgh Price = 123.2
Low Price = 96.8
r = 0.08
t = 1
U = High Price / Current Price = 123.2 / 110 = 1.12
D = Low Price / Current Price = 96.8 / 110 = 0.88
Probability of U = e^r*t - D / U -D
= e^(0.08*1) - 0.88 / 1.12 - 0.88
= 0.8470
Payoff at U = Max (High Price - Strike Price,0)
= Max (123.2 - 100, 0)
= 23.2
Payoff at D = Max (Lower - Strike Price,0)
= Max (96.8 - 100, 0)
= 0
Price of the call Option = e^(-r*t) * (probability of U * Payoff at U + (1- probability of U) * Payoff at D)
= e^(-0.08* 1) * (0.8470 * 23.2 + (1-0.8470) *0)
= $18.139605453 OR 18.14
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