Bond A has a 8% coupon rate, paid annually. Maturity is in three years. The bond sells at par value $1000 and has a convexity of 9.3. The duration of the bond is 2.78. If the interest rate increases from 8% to 9.5%, what price would be predicted by the duration-with-convexity rule?
Given about a bond,
Face value = $1000
coupon rate = 8% paid annually,
Years to maturity y = 3 years
Yield = 8%
Since Yield of the bond equals its coupon rate, bond is selling at par and the price of the bond is equal to Face value
So, Price P = $1000
Macaulay duration = 2.78
So, Modified duration = Macaulay duration/(1+y) = 2.78/1.08 = 2.58 years
Convexity C = 9.3
yield changes from 8% to 9.5%
=> change in yield dy = 1.5%
So, Change in price using duration and convexity rule is
dP = -D*P*dy + (1/2)*C*P*dy^2 = -2.58*1000*0.015 + (1/2)*9.3*1000*(0.015)^2 = -37.61
So, price of the bond decreases by $37.61
So, new price is P + dP = 1000 - 37.61 = $962.43
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