Question

Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Economy Probability HPR...

Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows:

State of the Economy Probability HPR
Boom 0.3 44%
Normal growth 0.6 22
Recession 0.1 -15


Use above equations to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)

mean?

standard deviation?

Homework Answers

Answer #1

Calculation of Mean & Standard Deviation of HPR

Scenario Probability HPR   HPR * Probability Deviation (D) D^2 D^2 * Probability
Boom 0.3 44% 0.132 0.191 0.03648100 0.01094430
Normal Economy 0.6 22% 0.132 -0.029 0.00084100 0.00050460
Recession 0.1 -15% -0.015 -0.399 0.15920100 0.01592010
Total 0.2490 Total 0.02736900

A) Calculation of Mean.


Mean = 0.2490 or 24.9%

B) Calculation of Standard Deviation


Where D (Deviation) = HPR - Mean

0.165436 or 16.54%

Standard Deviation = 16.54%

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