A European put option has an exercise price of £100. It has one year to expiration. The underlying stock does not pay any dividends and has a current price of £90. This price has a 50% chance of increasing to £110 and a 50% chance of decreasing to £70. The risk free rate of interest is 1% p.a. Calculate the price of the put option using the two state stock price model applying the replicating portfolio method.
Sol:
Stock current Price = £90
Strike price = £100
Expected to increase over one period = £110 (50% probability)
Expected to decrease over one period = £70 (50% probability)
Risk free rate = 1% p.a
CMP as on expiry can be:-
£110 or £70
Therefore, probability of both options is:-
p1 = 50% or 0.50
p2 = 1 - 50% = 50% or 0.50
To determine current value European-style put option is as follows,
Put Option premium if stock price increase to 110 = 0
Put Option premium for strike 100 = 100 - 70 = 30
Therefore, value of put option = (30 x 0.50) / (1+0.01)
Therefore, value of put option = 15 / 1.01 = £14.85
Therefore price of European-style Put option will be £14.85
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