Gustav Technologies (GT) has just developed a solar panel capable of generating 200% more electricity than any solar panel currently on the market. As a result, GT is expected to experience a 15% annual growth rate for the next 3 years and a 10% growth for 2 years after that. By the end of 5 years, other firms will have developed comparable technology, and GT's will remain constant indefinitely. Stockholders require a return of 15% on GT's stock. The most recent annual dividend, which was paid yesterday, was $1.50 per share. Calculate the estimated intrinsic value of the stock today.
D1 = 1.50*(1+15%) = 1.725
D2 = 1.725*(1+15%) = 1.98
D3 = 1.98*(1+15%) = 2.28
D4 = 2.28*(1+10%) = 2.51
D5 = 2.51*(1+10%) = 2.76
continuous value = D5 / K
where K = required return
continuous value = 2.76 / 15% = 18.40
(it is assumed that dividend is constant and no growth in dividend after year 5)
so total value in year 5 = 18.40 + 2.76 = 21.16
intrinsic value = present value of above cash flows.
intrinsic value = 1.725 / (1.15) + 1.98 /(1.15^2) + 2.28 / (1.15^3) + 2.51 / (1.15^4) + 2.76 / (1.15^5)
= $16.46
(above solution is based on no growth in dividend after year 5. if growth rate is present after year 5 then answer would be different)
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