A stock had returns of 14 percent, 13 percent, −10 percent, and 7 percent for the past four years. Which one of the following best describes the probability that this stock will lose no more than 10 percent in any one year?
Greater than 1 percent but less than 2.5 percent
Greater than 95 percent
Greater than .5 but less than 1.0 percent
Greater than 2.5 percent but less than 16 percent
Greater than 84 percent but less than 97.5 percent
Hence, probability that this stock will lose no more than 10 percent in any one year is 92.51% (1-7.49%)
Hence, correct option is "Greater than 84 percent but less than 97.5 percent"
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