Carpenter Corporation has a beta of 1.3. The expected market return is 14%, and the risk-free rate is 6%. The most recent annual dividend for Carpenter was $6.26 per share and sales grew by 4% last year. It is expected that dividends grow in same way as sales. What is your best estimation for the Carpenter Corporation’s stock price?
D0 | 6.26 | ||
For the first two years | |||
g | 0.04 | ||
D1 | 6.26*(1+.04) | ||
D1 | 6.5104 | ||
According to the dividend growth model. | |||
P0 = D1/(R-g) | |||
D1 is the dividend in year 1 | |||
g is the growth rate of the dividend | |||
R is the cost of equity or the required return on the stock. | |||
Use the CAPM model to find the required return on the stock. | |||
Under the Capital Asset pricing model | |||
R = Rf + Beta*(Rm-Rf) | |||
Rf is the risk free rate that is .06. | |||
Beta of the stock is 1.3. | |||
Rm is the expected return on the market that is .14. | |||
Rm - Rf is the market risk premium that is .08. | |||
R = .06 + (1.3*.08) | |||
R = .164 | |||
In other words the required return on the stock is 16.4%. | |||
P0 | 6.5104/(.164 - .04) | ||
P0 | 52.503 | ||
The estimate of the stocks current price is equal to $52.50. |
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