The crude oil futures price expiring in 9 months from now is $120 while the spot price of crude oil is $115. If the risk-free rate is 5% and the storage cost yield is 2%, both continuously compounded annual rates, what is the implied convenience yield of the crude oil?
A. 1.21% B. 1.28% C. 1.33% D. 2%
E. None of the above
F=S*(e^((r+s-c)*t))
F= Future price =$120
S=Spot Price=$115
r= Risk Free Rate=0.05 (continuously compounded)
s=Storage cost yield=0.02(Continuously compounded)
c=Convenience yield(Continuously compounded)
t =time period in years=(9/12)=0.75
120=115*(e^((0.05+0.02-c)*0.75))
120=115*(e^((0.07-c)*0.75))
c=0.07-(1/0.75)*ln(120/115)
c=0.07-(1/0.75)*ln(1.043478)
c=0.07-(0.04256/0.75)
c=0.07-0.056746
c=0.0133
Implied Convenience Yield=c=0.0133
Implied Convenience Yield=1.33%
C. 1.33%
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