Question

Forecasted Statements and Ratios

Upton Computers makes bulk purchases of small computers, stocks them in conveniently located warehouses, ships them to its chain of retail stores, and has a staff to advise customers and help them set up their new computers. Upton's balance sheet as of December 31, 2018, is shown here (millions of dollars):

Cash	$   3.5		Accounts payable	$   9.0
Receivables	26.0		Notes payable	18.0
Inventories	58.0		Line of credit	0
Total current assets	$ 87.5		Accruals	8.5
Net fixed assets	35.0		Total current liabilities	$ 35.5
			Mortgage loan	6.0
			Common stock	15.0
			Retained earnings	66.0
Total assets	$122.5		Total liabilities and equity	$122.5

Sales for 2018 were $200 million and net income for the year was $6 million, so the firm's profit margin was 3.0%. Upton paid dividends of $2.4 million to common stockholders, so its payout ratio was 40%. Its tax rate was 40%, and it operated at full capacity. Assume that all assets/sales ratios, (spontaneous liabilities)/sales ratios, the profit margin, and the payout ratio remain constant in 2019. Do not round intermediate calculations.

1. If sales are projected to increase by $90 million, or 45%, during 2019, use the AFN equation to determine Upton's projected external capital requirements. Enter your answers in millions. For example, an answer of $10,550,000 should be entered as 10.55. Round your answer to two decimal places.
   $    million
   
2. Using the AFN equation, determine Upton's self-supporting growth rate. That is, what is the maximum growth rate the firm can achieve without having to employ nonspontaneous external funds? Round your answer to two decimal places.
     %
   
3. Use the forecasted financial statement method to forecast Upton's balance sheet for December 31, 2019. Assume that all additional external capital is raised as a line of credit at the end of the year and is reflected (because the debt is added at the end of the year, there will be no additional interest expense due to the new debt).
   Assume Upton's profit margin and dividend payout ratio will be the same in 2019 as they were in 2018. What is the amount of the line of credit reported on the 2019 forecasted balance sheets? (Hint: You don't need to forecast the income statements because the line of credit is taken out on last day of the year and you are given the projected sales, profit margin, and dividend payout ratio; these figures allow you to calculate the 2019 addition to retained earnings for the balance sheet without actually constructing a full income statement.) Round your answers to two decimal places.

   Upton Computers Pro Forma Balance Sheet December 31, 2019 (Millions of Dollars)
   Cash	$
   Receivables	$
   Inventories	$
   Total current assets	$
   Net fixed assets	$
   Total assets	$
   Accounts payable	$
   Notes payable	$
   Line of credit	$
   Accruals	$
   Total current liabilities	$
   Mortgage loan	$
   Common stock	$
   Retained earnings	$
   Total liabilities and equity	$

Answer 1

Part (a)

AFN = A0 x g - L0* x g - S1 x Margin x Retention ratio = 122.5 x 45% - (9 + 8.5) x 45% - (200 + 90) x 3% x (1 - 40%) = $ 42.03 million

Part (b)

Upton's self-supporting growth rate, g* = S1 x Margin x Retention ratio / (A0 - L0*) = (200 + 90) x 3% x (1 - 40%) / [122.5 - (9 + 8.5)] = 4.97%

Part (c)

	$ million	How it has been calculated?
Cash	5.08	3.5 x (1 + 45%)
Receivables	37.70	26 x (1 + 45%)
Inventories	84.10	58 x (1 + 45%)
Total current assets	126.88	Sum of above items
Net fixed assets	50.75	35 x (1 + 45%)
Total assets	177.63	Sum of last two items
Accounts payable	13.05	9 x (1 + 45%)
Notes payable	18.00	Same as last year figure
Line of credit	42.03	Calculated in part (a)
Accruals	12.33	8.5 x (1 + 45%)
Total current liabilities	85.41	Sum of above items
Mortgage loan	6.00	Same as last year figure
Common stock	15.00	Same as last year figure
Retained earnings	71.22	66 + (200 + 90) x 3% x 60%
Total liabilities and equity	177.63	Sum of last four items above