Using the information below, what will be the spot rate of the Singapore dollar (USD/SGD) in three years based on the international fisher effect (=UIRP)? KEEP AT LEAST TWO DECIMALS
Spot Exchange rate of the Singapore dollar (USD/SGD) =0.71
Three-year annualized IR in the U.S. ( i.e., annual rate expected each year over the following three years), in% = 3.6
Three-year annualized interest rate in Singapore (%) =0.62
International Fisher Effect | Remarks |
When F1= Forward Rate Foreign Currency per USD | To be derived |
S0= Spot Rate Foreign Currency per USD | =1/0.71=1.408 SGD/USD |
rFC = Interest rate Foreign Currency | 0.62% |
rUS = Interest Rate USD | 3.60% |
t=Time period | 3 yrs |
Interest Rate Parity =IPR formula : | |
F1/S0= (1+rFC)/(1+rUS) | |
or F1=S0[1+(rFC-rUS)] | |
so , F1=1.408*[1+(0.62%-3.6%)] | |
F1=1.366 SGD/USD =1/1.366 USD /SGD=0.732 USD/SGD | |
So Spot Rate in 3 years would be 0.732 USD/SGD | |
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