Using Binomial model,
Probability ie P= R-d/u-d
where, R= Risk free interest
d = down side volatality
u = upside volatality
R = 4% p.s(assume continuously compounded)
= (1.04)3/12 =1.009% (approx)
Therefore,
u = 1.25
d= 0.75
P =1.009-0.75/1.25-0.75
= 0.518
= 0.52(approx)
1-P = 1-0.52
=0.48
As per Binomial model,
Call ie C0 =[P*Cu + (1-P)Cd] / Rf
where ,
Cu = 200*1.25-200
= $50 ie value if call option exercised
Cd = 0 ie value if call lapses
Thereore,
C0 = [0.52 * 50 +0.48*0]/1.009
= $25.77 (approx) ie value of Call option
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