Communications Fiji Limited just paid dividends of $2 per share. Assume that over the next three years dividends will grow as follows, 5% next year, 15% in year two, and 25% in year 3. After that growth is expected to level off to a constant growth rate of 10% per year. The required rate of return is 15%. Calculate the intrinsic value using the multistage model.
D0 | 2 | |||
For the first three years | ||||
g1 | 0.05 | |||
D1 | 2*(1+.05) | |||
D1 | 2.1 | |||
g2 | 0.15 | |||
D2 | 2.1*(1+.15) | |||
D2 | 2.415 | |||
g3 | 0.25 | |||
D3 | 2.415*(1+.25) | |||
D3 | 2.677 | |||
Find the price of the stock in year 3 | ||||
g4 | 0.1 | |||
D4 | 2.677*(1+.1) | |||
D4 | 2.9447 | |||
According to the dividend growth model. | ||||
P3 = D4/(R-g4) | ||||
R is the required return that is 15%. | ||||
P3 | 2.9447/(.15 - .1) | |||
P3 | 58.894 | |||
Cash flow in year 3 | P3 +D3 | |||
Cash flow in year 3 | 61.571 | |||
The price of the stock today = sum of present value of future cash flows. | ||||
Using R = .15 | ||||
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Cash flow | 2.1 | 2.415 | 61.57088 | |
Present value | 1.83 | 1.83 | 40.48 | |
sum of present values | 44.14 | |||
The intrinsic value of the stock is $44.14. |
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