Question

The following are possible states of the economy and the returns associated with stocks A and...

The following are possible states of the economy and the returns associated with stocks A and B in those states.

State Probability Return on A Return on B

Good 0.3 24% 30%

Normal 0.4 36% 18%

Bad 0.3 48% -6%

Calculate

1) covariance

2) coefficient

3) the expected return of the portfolio consisting of A & B The weight in stock A is 60%.

4) the standard deviation of a portfolio comprised of stocks A and B. The weight in stock A is 60%.

Homework Answers

Answer #1
Expected Return =Mean Return =SUMof ((Probability)*(Return))
Variance of Return =Sum of(Probability* (Deviation ^2))
Deviation =Return -Mean Return
Standard Deviation of Return =Square Root of Variance of Return
ANALYSIS OF STOCK A
p R1 A1=R1*P D1=R1-36 E1=(D1^2) F1=p*E1
State Probability Return(%) Probability*Return(%) Deviation(%) Deviation Squared(%%) Probability*Deviation Squared(%%)
Good 0.3 24 7.2 -12 144 43.2
Normal 0.4 36 14.4 0 0 0
Bad 0.3 48 14.4 12 144 43.2
SUM 36 SUM 86.4
Expected Return =Mean return 36 %
Variance of Return 86.4 %%
Standard Deviation of Return =SQRT(86.4)= 9.30 %
ANALYSIS OF STOCK B
p R2 A2=R2*p D2=R2-14.4 E2=(D2^2) F2=p*E2
State Probability Return(%) Probability*Return(%) Deviation(%) Deviation Squared(%%) Probability*Deviation Squared(%%)
Good 0.3 30 9 15.60 243.36 73.008
Normal 0.4 18 7.2 3.60 12.96 5.184
Bad 0.3 -6 -1.8 -20.40 416.16 124.848
SUM 14.4 SUM 203.04
Expected Return =Mean return 14.4 %
Variance of Return 203.04 %%
Standard Deviation of Return =SQRT(203.04)= 14.25 %
COVARIANCE BETWEEN RETURNS OF SECURITY A AND SECURITY B
Covariance =SUM of (Probability*Deviation of A* Deviation of B)
p D1=R1-15.5 D2=R2-16.8 G=p*D1*D2
Scenario Probability Deviation of Stock A Deviation of Stock B J probability*Deviation A*Deviation B
Very Good 0.30 -12 15.6 -56.16
Good 0.40 0 3.6 0
Average 0.30 12 -20.4 -73.44
SUM -129.6
Covariance of return Stock A and Return of Stock B -129.6 %%
Correlation of Return Stock A and Stock B=(Covariance)/(Std Deviation A* Standard Deviation B)
Correlation Coefficient -0.9784921 (-129.6/(9.3*14.25)
R1 Expected Return of A 36 %
R2 Expected Return of B 14.4 %
V1 Variance of A 86.4 %%
V2 Variance of B 203.04 %%
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