The real risk-free rate of interest is 3.8%. Inflation is expected to be 2.5% this year and 4.0% during the next 2 years. . Assume that the maturity risk premium is 0.5% for 2-year and 0.8% for 3-year period. What is the yield on 2-year Treasury securities? What is the yield on 3-year Treasury securities?
Risk free rate now = 3.8%
Risk free rate after 2 years =Risk free rate * (1 +inflation for year 1) * (1 +inflation for year 2) =3.8% *1.025*1.04=4.0508%
Risk free rate after 3 years =Risk free rate * (1 +inflation for year 1) * (1 +inflation for year 2)* (1 +inflation for year 3)
=3.8% *(1.025) *(1.04) *(1.04)=4.2128%
Yield on 2 year securities = Risk free rate after 2 years *(1+maturity premium)
=4.0508*(1+0.005)=4.0710%
Yield on 3 year securities = Risk free rate after 3 years *(1+maturity premium)
=4.2128*(1+0.008)=4.2465%
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