Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model
Following are forecasts of Abercrombie & Fitch's sales, net
operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA)
as of January 29, 2011. (Current-year NOPAT is lower due to
transitory items; we use a longer term estimate for NOPM of
8%.)
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
Sales | $ 3,469 | $ 3,989 | $ 4,587 | $ 5,275 | $ 6,066 | $ 6,187 |
NOPAT | 152 | 319 | 367 | 422 | 485 | 495 |
NOA | 1,032 | 1,173 | 1,349 | 1,551 | 1,784 | 1,820 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a discount rate (WACC)
of 10%, a terminal period growth rate of 2%, common shares
outstanding of 87.2 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO)
of $(858) million. (Negative NNO reflects net nonoperating assets
such as investments rather than net obligations)
(a) Estimate the value of a share of Abercrombie & Fitch common
stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of January 29,
2011.
Rounding instructions:
Round answers to the nearest whole number unless noted otherwise.
Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.
Do not use negative signs with any of your answers.
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
Increase in NOA | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] | (Round to 5 decimal places) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
Present value of horizon FCFF | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
present value of horizon FCFF | $ Answer | |||||
Present value of terminal FCFF | Answer | |||||
Total firm value | Answer | |||||
NNO | Answer | |||||
Firm equity value | $Answer | |||||
Shares outstanding (millions) | Answer | (round one decimal place) |
||||
Stock price per share | $Answer | (round two decimal places) |
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