An analyst expects a risk-free return of 4.5%, a market return of 14.5% and the returns for stocks A and B, shown below.
Stock | Beta | Analyst Expected Return |
A | 1.2 | 16% |
B | 0.8 | 14% |
If the analyst is correct in their expected return, what does it tell you about the value of the stock, and why?
CAPM return= risk free return+beta(risk premium)
risk premium would be calculated after deduction of risk free rate of return from market rate of return.= (14.5-4.5)= 10%
Stock A= 4.5+1.2(10)
=16.5%
Stock B= 4.5+.8(10)
= 12.5%
analyst is not correct in estimation of the expected return because the Capital Asset pricing model return reflect differently because analyst is predicting a higher rate of return for the stock, but according to the model, the stock is there to yield a lower rate of return.
it tells that higher beta stock is always having a higher expectation of Return and a lower beta stock would always be having a lower expectation of Return.
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