The price of an asset will either rise by 25% or fall by 40% in 1 year, with equal probability. A European put option on this asset matures after 1 year. Assume the following:
• Price of the asset today: 100
• Strike price of the put option: 130
• Put option premium: 7
What is the expected profit for this asset?
please give me a detailed and elaborated answer for 10 marks I have the short answer. Also mention what do we do with the put option premium.
Put Option
A put option is a type of option contract, which protects against downside risk i.e. if the price goes below the strike price then option gets exercised otherwise it will lapse.
Expected profit = ∑Xi∗Pi
Where
Xi = profit in scenario i
Pi = probability of scenario i
The profit from put option = payoff - premium
Payoff from put option = max((K - S),0)
where,
Premium = $7 (This will be subtracted from expected profit as this is a cost incurred to buy the option and hence must be subtracted.)
Hence
Profit in first scenario = max((130-125),0) = $5
Profit in second scenario = max((130-60),0) = $70
The probabilities are equal, therefore
Expected profits = (50% * $5 + 50% * $70 ) - Premium
= $37.5 - $7
= $30.5
Hence Profit from put option will be $30.5.
If you have any doubts please let me know in comments.
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