Consider the following information: Rate of Return if State Occurs State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Stock A Stock B Stock C Boom 0.66 0.27 0.33 0.29 Bust 0.34 0.19 0.15 0.11 Requirement 1: What is the expected return on an equally weighted portfolio of these three stocks? (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) Requirement 2: What is the variance of a portfolio invested 10 percent each in A and B and 80 percent in C? (Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
State of Economy | Probability of State of Economy | Stock A | Stock B | Stock C |
Boom | 66% | 27% | 33% | 29% |
Bust | 34% | 19% | 15% | 11% |
Boom return = 66% * (27% + 33% + 29%)/ 3
Boom return = 19.58%
Bust return = 34% * (19% + 15% + 11%)/ 3
Bust return = 5.1%
Expected Return = 19.58% + 5.1%
Expected Return = 24.680%
Part B - Variance
Boom return = 0.1 * 27% + 0.1 * 33% + 0.8 * 29%
Boom return = 29.2%
Bust return = 0.1 * 19% + 0.1 * 15% + 0.8 * 11%
Bust return = 12.20%
Expected Return = 0.66 * 29.2% + 0.34 * 12.20%
Expected Return = 23.42%
Variance = 0.66 * (29.2% - 23.42%)2 + 0.34 * (12.20%% - 23.42%)2
Variance = 0.006485
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