Ralph Industries just paid a dividend of D0 = $1. 5. Analysts expect the company's dividend to grow by 30% this year, by 10% in Year 2, and at a constant rate of 5% in Year 3 and thereafter. The required return on this low-risk stock is 9%. What is the best estimate of the stock’s current market value? *
a) $50.20
b) $50.98
c) $60.98
d) $45.80
Dividend in year zero (D0) = $ 1.5
Dividend in year one (D1) = $ 1.5 (1 + growth rate @30%)
= 1.5 * 1.3 = $ 1.95
Dividend in year one (D2) = $ 1.95 (1 + growth rate @10%)
= 1.95 * 1.1 = $ 2.145
Dividend in year one (D3) = $ 2.145 (1 + growth rate @5%)
= 2.145* 1.05 = $ 2.25225
The terminal value (TV) of the stock according To gordon growth formula = D3/ ( Rate of retun - constant growth)
=2.25225 / ( 0.09 - 0.05)
= $ 56.30625
The intrinsic value is calculated by discounting the dividend and TV to present value acc to the below table:
Value | PV factor @9% | Value * Pv factor | |
D1 (year 1) | 1.95 | 0.917431193 | 1.788990826 |
D2 (year 2) | 2.145 | 0.841679993 | 1.805403586 |
Terminal value(year 2) | 56.30625 | 0.841679993 | 47.39184412 |
Total intrinsic value | 50.98623853 |
Correct option B) 50.98
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