Question 1 (50 points)
During the last few years the Hyatt Hotels Corporation has been too constrained by the high cost of capital to make many capital investments. Recently, though, capital costs have been declining, and the company has decided to look seriously at a major expansion program that has been proposed by the marketing department. Assume that you are currently an intern helping the CFO.
a-Your first task is to estimate the Hyatt Hotels Corporation weighted average cost of capital (wacc) and you have been provided with the following most recent data:
b- For the second task you are asked to copy and paste the following table in your EXCEL sheet and then complete it to calculate the Free Cash Flow of the Firm (FCFF)
The Hyatt Hotels Corporation |
|||||
Summary of DCF (e=expected) |
|||||
USDm |
2020e |
2021e |
2022e |
2023e |
2024e |
EBIT |
8,568 |
9,169 |
9,768 |
10,299 |
10,832 |
Taxes |
20% |
20% |
20% |
20% |
20% |
NOPAT |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
Depreciation |
1,478 |
1,547 |
1,617 |
1,687 |
1,755 |
Capital Expenditures |
1,599 |
1,810 |
1,894 |
1,977 |
2,059 |
Increase in Net working Capital |
-361 |
-210 |
-43 |
-61 |
-81 |
FCFF |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
c-For the third task you are asked to apply the multiple growth model to calculate the fair value of The Hyatt Hotels Corporation. The first stage ends in Year 5 (2024) ,while the second stage is from Year 5 to infinity. The forecasted growth rate for the second stage is 3%.You are also provided with the following table and asked to copy paste it in your excel sheet and finalize the calculation.
Data from The Hyatt Hotels Corporation financial statements 2019 in million USD |
|
Marketable securities |
26,583 |
Long Term Bonds |
8900 |
Preferred Stocks |
1094 |
Number of shares in million |
4314 |
d- Today 17.5.2020 the Hyatt Hotels Corporation s (H) stock is trading at 47.08 USD. What is your recommendation for this stock? Buy or sell. Explain your recommendation
1. We will first calculate the cost of capital of Hyatt Corporation. There are 3 components to the capital - Bonds, Preferred Share & Equity
Bonds - We will use excel function of rate to calculate the Cost of Bonds
Here,
Tenure of Bond = NPER= 7 years = 7 x 2 = 14 half years
Coupon on the bond = PMT = $1000x 6%/2 = - $30 (It is a cash outflow from Company's point of view)
Price of the bond = PV = $1022
Maturity Value of Bond = - $1000 (This is the amount that Hyaat need to pay its bond holders at maturity)
Type = 0 (It is a value in excel which denotes the whether the
periodic payments are done at start or at end. 1 = At the
beginning, 0 = At the end)
The half yearly rate of Bond = Rate(14,-30,1022,-1000,0)
=2.81%
Annual cost of bond = 2.81% x2 = 5.62%
After Tax cost of bond = Cost of Bond X (1- Tax rate)
After Tax cost of bond = 5.62% x (1-20%) = 4.49%
Preferred Share :
Cost of Preferred stock = D / (P0 - f),
where D = Dividend, P0 is the current price before floatation cost, f = Floatation cost
Cost of Preferred share
= 10 / (160.10 -2)
= 10/ 158.10
=6.33%
Cost of Equity
We will use both CAPM Formula & Dividend growth model to find the cost of equity
According to CAPM
Cost of Equity Re = Rf + Beta x (Rm - Rf)
Where: Re = Cost of Equity,
Rf = Risk free rate (4.00%)
Rm = Market Returns (10%)
Beta = 0.56
Cost of Equity Re = 4% + 0.56 x (10% - 4%)
= 7.36%
According to Dividend growth model
Re = (D1 / P0 ) + g
Where:
Re = Cost of Equity
D1 = Dividends/share next year (1.65 x (1+3%))
P0 = Current share price (47.08)
g = Dividend growth rate (3%)
Re = (1.65 x 1.03 / 47.08) + 3%
= 3.61% + 3%
= 6.61%
Cost of Equity = Average of CAPM & Dividend growth
= (7.36% + 6.61%) /2
= 6.98%
WACC = We x Ke + Wd X Kd + Wpf x Kpf
= 73% x 6.98% + 25% x 4.49% + 2% x 6.33%
= 5.10% + 1.12% + 0.13%
= 6.34%
B
USDm | 2020e | 2021e | 2022e | 2023e | 2024e |
EBIT | 8,568 | 9,169 | 9,768 | 10,299 | 10,832 |
Taxes | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
NOPAT | 6,854 | 7,335 | 7,814 | 8,239 | 8,666 |
Depreciation | 1,478 | 1,547 | 1,617 | 1,687 | 1,755 |
Capital Expenditures | 1,599 | 1,810 | 1,894 | 1,977 | 2,059 |
Increase in Net working Capital | (361) | (210) | (43) | (61) | (81) |
FCFF | 7,094 | 7,282 | 7,580 | 8010 | 8,443 |
FCFF = NOPAT + Depreciation - Capital Expenditure - Increase in Working Capital
C Finding the value of share
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
USDm | 2020e | 2021e | 2022e | 2023e | 2024e |
EBIT | 8568 | 9169 | 9768 | 10299 | 10832 |
Taxes | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
NOPAT | 6854 | 7335 | 7814 | 8239 | 8666 |
Depreciation | 1478 | 1547 | 1617 | 1687 | 1755 |
Capital Expenditures | 1599 | 1810 | 1894 | 1977 | 2059 |
Increase in Net working Capital | -361 | -210 | -43 | -61 | -81 |
FCFF | 7094 | 7282 | 7580 | 8010 | 8443 |
Terminal Value of FCCF | 260356 | ||||
PV Factor (Using WACC of 6.34%) | 0.940 | 0.884 | 0.832 | 0.782 | 0.735 |
PV of FCFF (FCFFt X PV Factor at time t) | 6671 | 6440 | 6304 | 6264 | 197671 |
Terminal Value at year 5
= FCFF5 x (1+g) / (k - g)
= 8443 x (1.03)/ (6.34% - 3%)
= $260356
Value of the Firm (A) = Sum of all PV | 223,350 |
Marketable securities (B) | 26,583 |
Long Term Bonds C | 8900 |
Preferred Stocks D | 1094 |
Value of Equity E = A- C -D + B | 239,939 |
Number of shares in million N | 4314 |
Value of Share = E/N | $55.62 |
Value of Equity = Value of Firm - Value of Debt - Value of Preferred share + Marketable securities
D . The stock should be bought as the intrinsic value found above ($55.62) is almost 20% above the prevailing price of $47.08. Investor can gain up to 20% on the purchase of share.
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