Common stock value—Constant growth Over the past 6 years, Elk County Telephone has paid the dividends shown in the following table:
Year |
Dividend per share |
2019 |
$6.96 |
2018 |
$6.75 |
2017 |
$6.56 |
2016 |
$6.37 |
2015 |
$6.18 |
2014 |
$6.00 |
The firm's dividend per share in 2020 is expected to be $7.16.
a. If you can earn 13% on similar-risk investments, what is the most you would be willing to pay per share in 2019, just after the $6.96 dividend?
b. If you can earn only 10% on similar-risk investments, what is the most you would be willing to pay per share?
c. Compare your findings in parts a and b, what is the impact of changing risk on share value?
Growth Rate = (Dividend in 2019 / Dividend in 2014)^(1/5) -
1
Growth Rate = ($6.96 / $6.00)^(1/5) - 1
Growth Rate = 1.16^(1/5) - 1
Growth Rate = 1.0301 - 1
Growth Rate = 0.0301 or 3.01%
Answer a.
Dividend in 2020 = $7.16
Growth Rate = 3.01%
Required Return = 13.00%
Stock Price, 2019 = Dividend in 2020 / (Required Return - Growth
Rate)
Stock Price, 2019 = $7.16 / (0.1300 - 0.0301)
Stock Price, 2019 = $7.16 / 0.0999
Stock Price, 2019 = $71.67
Answer b.
Dividend in 2020 = $7.16
Growth Rate = 3.01%
Required Return = 10.00%
Stock Price, 2019 = Dividend in 2020 / (Required Return - Growth
Rate)
Stock Price, 2019 = $7.16 / (0.1000 - 0.0301)
Stock Price, 2019 = $7.16 / 0.0699
Stock Price, 2019 = $102.43
Answer c.
According to the findings in part a and b, as risk decreases, the required rate of return decreases, causing the share price to rise.
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