Rate of return if state occurs
State of Economy |
Probability of state | Stock A | Stock B |
Bust |
.30 | -.13 | -.11 |
Normal |
.50 | .08 | .08 |
Boom |
.20 | .43 | .23 |
A. Calculate the expected teturns on each stock.
Stock A Expected return in percent?
Stock B Expected return in percent?
B.
. |
Assuming the capital asset pricing model holds and Stock A's beta is greater than Stock B's beta by .45, what is the expected market risk premium? |
A. Expected Return = ?(probability of state*expected return on stock)
Stock A | |||
State of Economy | Probability of state |
Expected return | probability of state*expected return on stock |
Bust | 0.3 | -0.13 | -3.90% |
Normal | 0.5 | 0.08 | 4.00% |
Boom | 0.2 | 0.43 | 8.60% |
Expected Return | 8.70% |
Stock B | |||
State of Economy | Probability of state |
Expected return | probability of state*expected return on stock |
Bust | 0.3 | -0.11 | -3.30% |
Normal | 0.5 | 0.08 | 4.00% |
Boom | 0.2 | 0.23 | 4.60% |
Expected Return | 5.30% |
B)
If CAPM holds, Expected return on a stock = Rf+(Beta of the stock*Rp), where:
Stock A: 0.0870 = Rf+(BetaA*Rp) ===> Rf = 0.0870-(BetaA*Rp)
Stock B: 0.0530 = Rf+(BetaB*Rp) ===> Rf = 0.0530-(BetaB*Rp)
Given: BetaA=BetaB+0.45
Thus: 0.0870-((BetaB+0.45)*Rp) = 0.0530-(BetaB*Rp)
===> Rp = 7.56%
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