One hundred million shares of stock have been outstanding for the period. Prospec’s share price in 20X7, 20X8, and 20X9 was $39.27, $26.10, and $11.55. Calculate the firm's Earnings Per Share (EPS), and its Price Earnings Ratio (P/E). What's happening to the P/E? To what things are investors likely to be reacting? How would a slowdown in personal computer sales affect your reasoning?
20X7 |
20X8 |
20X8 |
|
Sales |
$1,578 |
$2,106 |
$3,265 |
COGS |
631 |
906 |
1,502 |
Gross Margin |
$ 947 |
$1,200 |
$1,763 |
Expenses |
|||
Marketing |
$316 |
$495 |
$882 |
R & D |
158 |
211 |
327 |
Admin. |
126 |
179 |
294 |
Total Expenses |
$ 600 |
$ 885 |
$1,503 |
EBIT |
$347 |
$315 |
$260 |
Interest |
63 |
95 |
143 |
EBT |
$284 |
$220 |
$117 |
Tax |
97 |
75 |
40 |
EAT |
$187 |
$145 |
$ 77 |
20X7 |
20X8 |
20X9 |
|
ASSETS |
|||
Cash |
$ 30 |
$ 40 |
$ 62 |
Accounts Receivable |
175 |
351 |
590 |
Inventory |
90 |
151 |
300 |
Current Assets |
$ 295 |
$ 542 |
$ 952 |
Fixed Assets |
|||
Gross |
$1,565 |
$2,373 |
$2,718 |
Accum. Depreciation |
(610) |
(860) |
(1,135) |
Net |
$ 955 |
$1,513 |
$1,583 |
Total Assets |
$1,250 |
$2,055 |
$2,535 |
LIABILITIES |
|||
Accounts Payable |
$56 |
$81 |
$134 |
Accruals |
15 |
20 |
30 |
Current Liabilities |
$71 |
$101 |
$164 |
Capital |
|||
Long-Term Debt |
$630 |
$1,260 |
$1,600 |
Equity |
549 |
694 |
771 |
Total Liability & Equity |
$1,250 |
$2,055 |
$2,535 |
Assuming all the data in the table is in millions
Earnings per share = EAT/No of shares
2017=187/100=1.87
2018=145/100=1.45
2019=77/100=0.77
P/E= Price per share/ EPS
2017=39.27/1.87=21
2018=26.10=1.45=18
2019=11.55/0.77=15
What is happening to the P/E?
P/E is decreasing that indicates that investors are already factoring in the decrease in net profit.
To what things are investors likely to be reacting?
Investors are reacting due to below reasons:
1. The substantial increase in Debt in the last two years.
2. The decrease in the Gross Margin.
3. The substantial increase in Admin cost from 179 in 2018 to 294 in 2019.
How would a slowdown in personal computer sales affect your reasoning?
It will further decrease the sales and in turn, will affect revenues negatively.
The investor will further sell the shares.
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