You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.5 million upfront and take a year to make. After that, it is expected to make $4.5 million in the first year it is released (end of year 2) and $1.8 million for the following four years (end of years 3 through 6) . What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? What is the NPV of the movie if the cost of capital is 10.5%? According to the NPV rule, should you make this movie?
There are four parts to the question written above. Please answer all parts. Thank you.
The Cumulative Cashflows are as shown in table below
Figures in Million Dollars | ||
Year | Cashflows | Cumulative Cashflows |
0 | -10.5 | -10.5 |
1 | 0 | -10.5 |
2 | 4.5 | -6 |
3 | 1.8 | -4.2 |
4 | 1.8 | -2.4 |
5 | 1.8 | -0.6 |
6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
As Cumulative Cashflows turn positive in 6th year
Payback period = 5+ 0.6/1.8 = 5.33 years
If a payback period of 2 years is required , I will not make the movie
NPV = -10.5+4.5/1.105^2+1.8/1.105^3+1.8/1.105^4+1.8/1.105^5+1.8/1.105^6
= -2.1918
So, NPV of the movie is -$2.1918 million
As the NPV is negative, I will not make the movie
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