Rio Tinto is planning a strip-mining project that costs $90,000 initially and generates the following cash flows:
Year 1: $131,000
Year 2: $98,980
Year 3: -$147,650
Cash flow in Year 3 will be spent to restore the terrain, hence it is negative. The required return is 13.5%. Which of the following statements would you most agree with?
A. At a discount rate of 41.092%, the present value of future cash flows is close to $90,000. Hence, the breakeven rate is very high (compared to 13.5%). So, we should accept it.
B. Accept the project since it is a good investment.
C. Reject the project since it does not break even if we ignore discounting.
D. When cash flow signs change more than once, it is tricky to reach a definitive conclusion. It is too risky to accept the project in such situation.
E. Reject the project since the return 10.09%, which is lower than 13.5%.
YEAR | CASH FLOWS | DISCOUNT FACTOR OF 13.5% | DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS | DISCOUNT FACTOR OF 41.092% | DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS | DISCOUNT FACTOR OF 10.09% | DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS |
0 | -90000 | 1 | -90000 | 1 | -90000 | 1 | -90000 |
1 | 131000 | 0.881057269 | 115418.5022 | 0.708757407 | 92847.22025 | 0.908347716 | 118993.5507 |
2 | 98980 | 0.776261911 | 76834.40393 | 0.502337061 | 49721.32233 | 0.825095572 | 81667.95974 |
3 | -147650 | 0.683931199 | -100982.4415 | 0.356035113 | -52568.5844 | 0.749473678 | -110659.7886 |
SUM OF DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW | 1270.464611 | SUM OF DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW | -0.041818518 | SUM OF DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW | 1.721896582 |
In the given situation , I will agree with Option A.
Here 41.092% shows internal rate of return where present value of future cash flows equals to cash out flows at year 0.
Hence we should accept the project
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