If a bond portfolio has a market value of $35 million and a Macaulay duration of 5.4 years, what is the expected change in market value for a 1% decrease of interest rates using the modified duration approximation? The portfolio has a yield-to-maturity of 7%.
a. -$1.89 million
b. -$1.77 million
c. +$1.77 million
d. +$1.89 million
Before we arrive at the solution, let's see how change in interest rate will change the market value of the bond portfolio.
Let's substitute the value of YTM and Duration
=5.0467%
The above figure means that if rate changes by 1% the price will change by 5.0467%
In the said question, a decrease in rate by 1% will increase the price by 5.0467% due to the inverse relationship.
Market Value = $35 million
Change in market value = 5.0467% of 35 million = $1.766 million or $1.77 million(rounded off)
The correct answer is Option C (+$1.77 million)
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