Heavy Metal Corporation is expected to generate the following free cash flows over the next five years:
Year |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
FCF ($ million) |
51.8 |
67.6 |
77.2 |
75.2 |
81.3 |
Thereafter, the free cash flows are expected to grow at the industry average of
3.6%
per year. Using the discounted free cash flow model and a weighted average cost of capital of
13.5%:
a. Estimate the enterprise value of Heavy Metal.
b. If Heavy Metal has no excess cash, debt of
$297
million, and
41
million shares outstanding, estimate its share price.
a). Enterprise Value = [FCF1/(1+WACC)] + [FCF2/(1+WACC)2] + [FCF3/(1+WACC)3] + [FCF4/(1+WACC)4] + [FCF5/(1+WACC)5] + [{FCF5*(1+g)}/{(r-g)*(1+WACC)5}]
= [51.8/(1+0.135)] + [67.6/(1+0.135)2] + [77.2/(1+0.135)3] + [75.2/(1+0.135)4] + [81.3/(1+0.135)5] + [{81.3*(1+0.036)}/{(0.135-0.036)*(1+0.135)5}]
= 45.64 + 52.48 + 52.80 + 45.31 + 43.16 + 451.69 = 691.08, or $691.1 million
b). Value of equity = EV - Value of Debt + Cash
= 691.1 - 297 + 0 = $394.1 million
Share Price = Value of Equity / Shares outstanding = 394.1 / 41 = 9.6, or $9.6
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