[The following information applies to the questions displayed below.]
The actual relationship between a nominal rate, R, a real rate, r, and an inflation rate, h, can be written as: |
1 + r = (1 + R)/(1 + h) |
This is the domestic Fisher effect. |
(d) |
Your company has a project in France. The project's cost is €2 million and the cash flows are €.9 million per year for the next three years. The dollar required return is 10% and the current exchange rate is €0.500. The risk-free rate on euros is 7% per year. It is 5% per year on the dollar. The NPV for the project using the exact forms for UIP and the international Fisher effect is $. (Do not include the dollar sign ($). Input your answer in dollars, not in millions, e.g, $1,234,567.89. Round your answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16)) |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
€/$ | 0.500 | 0.510 | 0.519 | 0.529 |
Cashflow (€) | -€ 2,000,000 | € 900,000 | € 900,000 | € 900,000 |
Cashflow ($) | -$ 4,000,000 | $ 1,766,355 | $ 1,733,339 | $ 1,700,940 |
NPV | $316,230.72 |
First, we need to forecast exchange rates for the next three years.
Future rate (€/$) = Current rate (€/$) x (1 + rate (€)) / (1 + rate ($))
For year 1, rate = 0.500 x (1 + 7%) / (1 + 5%) = 0.510 and so on...
Now, convert the dollar cash flows in euro cash flows with the corresponding exchange rate.
Cash Flow ($) = Cash Flow (€) / rate (€/$)
NPV ($) = - CF0 + CF1 / (1 + r) + CF2 / (1 + r)^2 + CF3 / (1 + r)^3
= - 4,000,000 + 1,766,355 / (1 + 10%) + 1,733,339 / (1 + 10%)^2 + 1,700,940 / (1 + 10%)^3
= $316,230.72
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