A portfolio manager summarizes the input from the macro and micro forecasts in the following table:
Micro Forecasts |
|||
Asset | Expected Return (%) | Beta | Residual Standard Deviation (%) |
Stock A |
18 |
2.00 |
50 |
Stock B |
16 |
3.00 |
50 |
Macro Forecasts |
||
Asset | Expected Return (%) | Standard Deviation (%) |
T-bills |
4 |
0 |
Passive Equity Portfolio (m) |
14 |
20 |
a. Calculate expected excess returns, alpha values, and residual variances for these stocks.
Instruction: Enter your answer as a percentage (rounded to two decimal places) for expected excess returns and alpha values.
Expected excess return on stock A %
Expected excess return on stock B %
Alpha of stock A %
Alpha of stock B %
Instruction: Enter your answer as a decimal number rounded to two decimal places for residual variances.
Residual variance of stock A
Residual variance of stock B
Instruction: for part b, enter your response as a decimal number rounded to four decimal places.
b. Suppose that the portfolio manager follows the Treynor-Black model, and constructs an active portfolio (p) that consists of the above two stocks. The alpha of the active portfolio (p) is -18%, and its residual standard deviation is 150%.
What is the Sharpe ratio for the optimal portfolio (consisting of the passive equity portfolio and the active portfolio (p))?
What’s the M2 of the optimal portfolio?
Expected excess return = Return on Asset - Risk-Free Rate
Risk-free rate = 4%
Expected excess return
Stock A = 18% - 4% = 14%
Stock B = 16% - 4% = 12%
Return on stocks as per CAPM model
Stock A (capm) = Rf + beta*(Rm - Rf)
Rf: risk free rate = 4%
Rm: market return = 14%
Beta = 2
Stock A (capm) = 4%+2*(14%-4%) = 24%
Stock B (capm) = 4%+3*(14%-4%) = 34%
Alpha Stock A = Expected return - Return(capm) = 18% - 24% = -6%
Alpha Stock B = Expected return - Return(capm) = 16% - 34% = -18%
Residual variance = (Residual standard deviation)^2
Stock A = (50%)^2 = 0.25
Stock B = (50%)^2 = 0.25
Sharpe Ratio (SR) = alpha/residual st dev = -18%/150% = -0.1200
M2 = SR * s(b) + Rf
where s(b) is st. dev. of benchmark = 20%
M2 = -0.12*20% + 4% = 1.6%
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