Calculating Interest rates
The real risk-free (r*) is 2.8% and is expected to remain constant. Inflation is expected to be 7% per year for each of the next three years and 6% thereafter.
The maturity risk premium (MRP) is determined from the formula: 0.1(t-1)%, where t is the security's maturity. The liquidity premiums (LP) on all BTR Warehousing's bonds is 1.05%. The following table shows the current relationship between bond ratings and default risk premiums (DRP):
Rating | Default Risk Premium |
---|---|
U.S. Treasury | - |
AAA | 0.60% |
AA | 0.80% |
A | 1.05% |
BBB | 1.45% |
BTR Warehousing issues 11-year, AA-rated bonds. What is the yield on one of these bonds? Disregard cross-product terms; that is, if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average. Answers to choose from: (5.65%, 10.92%, 11.92%, 10.87%)
Based on your understanding of the determinants of interest rates, if everything else remains the same, which of the following will be true? Answers to choose from: (The yield on a AAA-rated bon will be higher than the yield on a BB-rated bond. Higher inflation expectations increase the nominal interest rate demanded by investors.)
Inflation premium is average of inflation over life of bond.
For 11 year bond, inflation premium = [(7% * 3) + (6% * 8)]/11 = 6.27%
Maturity risk premium = 0.1(11 - 1)% = 1.0%
Nominal yield = 2.80% + 6.27% + 0.80% + 1.05% + 1.0% = 11.92%
Part 2:
Correct statement is: Higher inflation expectations increase the nominal interest rate demanded by investors.
This can be deferred from the formula above, higher interest rate implies higher inflation premium.
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