1. Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 5.7%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.3%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what does the market believe that 2-year securities will be yielding 4 years from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
4 year security yield=5.7%= | 0.057 | |||
6 year security yield=7.3%= | 0.073 | |||
Future Value of $1 investment for 6 year buying six year security now | 1.526154 | (1.073^6) | ||
Assume 2 year security yield after 4 years=r | ||||
Future Value of $1 investment for 6 year with sequential investment( 4 year now and 2year after 4 years=(1.057^4)*(1+r)^2=1.248245*(((1+r)^2)) | 1.248245 | |||
As Per Expectation theory, The Future values will be same | ||||
1.248245*((1+r)^2)=1.526154 | ||||
((1+r)^2)= | 1.222639 | |||
1+r= | 1.10573 | |||
r=0.10573 | ||||
2 year security yield after 4 years=10.57% | ||||
USING GEOMETRIC AVERAGE; | ||||
Geometric Average yield by sequential invetment | ||||
((1.057^4)*((1+r)^2))^(1/6))-1=0.073 | ||||
(1.057^4)*((1+r)^2)=1.073^6= | 1.526154 | |||
((1+r)^2)= | 1.222639 | |||
r=0.10573 | ||||
2 year security yield after 4 years=10.57% | ||||
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