Question

1. Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 5.7%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.3%....

1. Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 5.7%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.3%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what does the market believe that 2-year securities will be yielding 4 years from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.​

Homework Answers

Answer #1
4 year security yield=5.7%= 0.057
6 year security yield=7.3%= 0.073
Future Value of $1 investment for 6 year buying six year security now 1.526154 (1.073^6)
Assume 2 year security yield after 4 years=r
Future Value of $1 investment for 6 year with sequential investment( 4 year now and 2year after 4 years=(1.057^4)*(1+r)^2=1.248245*(((1+r)^2)) 1.248245
As Per Expectation theory, The Future values will be same
1.248245*((1+r)^2)=1.526154
((1+r)^2)= 1.222639
1+r= 1.10573
r=0.10573
2 year security yield after 4 years=10.57%
USING GEOMETRIC AVERAGE;
Geometric Average yield by sequential invetment
((1.057^4)*((1+r)^2))^(1/6))-1=0.073
(1.057^4)*((1+r)^2)=1.073^6= 1.526154
((1+r)^2)= 1.222639
r=0.10573
2 year security yield after 4 years=10.57%
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