Sarah is currently unemployed and without health insurance coverage. She derives utility (U) from her interest income on her savings (Y = $6) according to the following function:
U = (Y+10), Y = $6 => U= 16
She realizes that there is about a 20% probability that she may suffer a heart attack with the cost of treatment of about $2.
A. Calculate Sarah expected utility level without any health insurance coverage.
B. Suppose Sarah must pay an annual premium of $2 for health insurance coverage with ACME insurance. Would she buy the health insurance? Why or why not?
C. Suppose Sarah must pay an annual premium of $1 for health insurance coverage with ACME insurance. Would she buy the health insurance? Why or why not?
Answer.
A. For Expected Utility in absence of insurance,
E = p(Utility with no heart attack) +(1-p) (Utility with heart attack)
Here,
Probability of heart attack=p=0.20
Probability of no heart attack=1-p=1-0.20=0.80
So, E = 0.20 (14) + 0.80 (16) = 15.6
B. In case of insurace,
Expected Utility = 0.20 (14) + .80 (14) = 14. (As, she has to pay the insurance premium in either case)
Her expected utility with insurance is lower, so she will not buy theinsurance.
C. Smiliarly, in case of $1 premium,
Her expected utility = 0.20 (15) + .80 ( 15) = 15
It is still lower than with no insurance, so she will not buy the insurance.
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