An investor has $1,000 that can be invested in the U.S.A or Canada in one–year bonds.
The current yield on the bonds are rus = 5.5% and rcan = 4%.
Suppose the current exchange rate is US$1 for Cdn$1.20, but you expect the US dollar to depreciate to US$1 for Cdn$1.10 a year from now. Abstracting from everything else, which country offers a better investment opportunity? Explain. [Hint: apply the interest rate parity]
Answer- Canada offers a better investment opportunity because it gives higher return on investment of $1000.
If the amount of $1000 will be invested in the U.S.A. bond at 5.5% rate of return.
Yeild= 1000*5.5%= $55
Total value of bond is US $1055.
If the amount will be invested in Canadian bond at 4% rate of return.
Given the spot exchange rate is 1.20/Cdn $
$ 1000= Cdn$ 1000*1.20 =Cdn$ 1200.
Yield=1200*4%= Cdn$ 48.
Total value of bond is Cdn$ 1248.
As per question after one year the U.S. dollar to depreciate to U.S $1= Cdn$ 1.10
Value of Canadian bond in U.S. $ = 1248/1.10
=U.S. 1134.55.
That means, if the amount will be invested in Canadian bond it will given greater return (1134.55-1055= $79.55) than U.S. bond.
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