Annual profit (P) is the product of total annual sales (S) and profit per unit sold (X) that is ? = ? × ?. It is desired to know the probability distribution of the random variable P when X and S have the following assumed probability mass functions (X and S are independent):
a) (3 points) Calculate the expected Annual Profit.
b) (3 points) What is the standard deviation of the Annual Profit?
X(unit profit) | X(unit profit) | S(annual sales) | S(annual sales |
value | probability | value | probability |
0.2 | 0.07 | 1780 | 0.1 |
0.3 | 0.43 | 3800 | 0.4 |
0.6 | 0.35 | 5800 | 0.35 |
1 | 0.15 | 14000 | 0.15 |
First,we need to find the probability distrust ofAnnual profit (P)
Since probability distribution of total annual sales(S) and profits per unit sold (X) are independent therefore. Probability of P = Probability of S * Probability of X
P(Annual Sales). Annual sales Probability
356. 0.007
1140. 0.172
3480. 0.1225
14000. 0.0225
a) expected annual profit = Annual sales * Annual sales probability
0.007*356+0.172*1140+0.1225*3480+0.0225*14000=940(approx)
Lets now find square of deviation from expected annual profit for each distribution of annual profit
squared deviation
341056
40000
6451600
170563600
b) Standard deviations of expected profit = ( squared deviation * Probbility of annual profit)
( 4637270)=2153.43
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