China is the largest creditor to the U.S. (the country that has the largest share of U.S. Treasuries). Using the Loanable Funds Theory, explain how interest rates in the U.S. change if China continues selling U.S. Treasuries. Support your answer with a properly labeled graph. Explain what happens to the world interest rates.
China is one of the largest holders of US treasuries. It holds
US treasury bonds worth more than a trillion dollars. However, it
is around 5% of the total US treasury bonds but dumping off those
bonds by China could induce high volatility in the market.
US treasuries are liabilities and if China sells it then the US
will have to pay them. If the volume is quite large then it will
decrease liquid funds in the market and that will result in an
increase in the interest rates. This will also cause the bond
prices to fell and bond yield to rise.
The US is the largest economy in the world and any change in its
interest rate affects the domestic as well as the global economy.
The other countries may raise their interest rates following the US
to remain attractive in the bond market or to stop the capital
flight.
However, the interest rate is the function of the macroeconomic
situation and countries choose the appropriate rate according to
the economic condition.
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