Game Theory Econ
Imagine a market setting with three firms. Firms 2 and 3 are
already operating as monopolists in two different industries (they
are not competitors). Firm 1 must decide whether to enter
firm 2’s industry and thus compete with firm 2 or enter firm 3’s
industry and thus compete with firm 3. Production in firm 2’s
industry occurs at zero cost, whereas the cost of production in
firm 3’s industry is 2 per unit. Demand in firm 2’s industry is
given by p = 9-Q, whereas demand in firm 3’s industry is given by
p' = 14-Q', where p and Q denote the price and total quantity in
firm 2’s industry and p' and Q' denote the price and total quantity
in firm 3’s industry. The game runs as follows: First, firm 1
chooses between E2 and E3. (E2
means "enter firm 2’s industry" and E3 means "enter firm
3’s industry.") This choice is observed by firms 2 and 3. Then, if
firm 1 chooses E2, firms 1 and 2 compete as Cournot
duopolists, where they select quantities q1 and
q2 simultaneously. In this case, firm 3 automatically
gets the monopoly profit of 36 in its own industry. In contrast, if
firm 1 chooses E3, then firms 1 and 3 compete as Cournot
duopolists, where they select quantities q1 and
q3 simultaneously; and in this case, firm 2
automatically gets its monopoly profit of 81/4.
(a) Calculate and report the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of this game. In the equilibrium, does firm 1 enter firm 2’s industry or firm 3’s industry?
(b) Is there a Nash equilibrium (not necessarily subgame perfect) in which firm 1 selects E2? If so, describe it. If not, briefly explain why
a. We need to find out how the sub games starting after E3 and E2 are played.
E2: We have Cournot competition between 1 and 2 in firm 2’s industry, where p= 9-Q and production can be seen at zero cost. This subgame has a unique Nash equilibrium, where 1 and 2 choose quantity of q1=q2= 3, for a profit of 9, and 3 chooses q3= 6 for a profit of 36.
E3: We now have Cournot competition between 1 and 3 in firm 3’s industry, where p= 14-Q and the marginal cost stands at 2. This subgame has a unique Nash equilibrium, where 1 and 3 choose quantity of q1=q3= 4, for a profit of 16, and 2 chooses q2= 9/2 for a profit of 81/4.
So, we can see that there is a unique subgame perfect equilibrium.
Firm 1 chooses E3, produces q1= 3 if it chooses E2, and produces q1= 4
Firm 2 produces q2= 9/2 if firm 1 chooses E3 and produces q2= 3
Firm 3 produces q3= 6 if firm 1 chooses E2 and produces q3= 4
b. Yes there is a Nash equilibrium in which firm 1 selects E2.
Firm 1 chooses E2, produces q1= 3 if it chooses E2 and produces zero
•Firm 2 produces q2= 9/2 if firm 1 chooses E3 and produces q2= 3
•Firm 3 produces q3= 6 if firm 1 chooses E2 and produces q3= 12
Firm 3 can adopt a strategy where q3= 12 if it enters the industry when it is booming, lowering firm 1's profit from entering to 0. At equilibrium, this restricts firm 1 from entering against firm 3, this way sub optimal behavior following entry does not lower firm3's payoff. This game is Nash equilibrium but not subgame-perfect.
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