Question

Trend Analysis:

Using appropriate regression model Determine the long-term trend of the selected variable. In addition, illustrate graph of actual series and predicted trend model on same plot. Comment on long-term trend based on your findings. Report your finding as follows:               Model

1 Coefficient of Intercept

2 standard error of intercept

3 Coefficient of X

4 (standard error of Coefficient of X)

5 r-square

6 t- stat of Coefficient of X

7 (P –value of Coefficient of X)

3. Cyclical Effect: Does your variable have cyclical effect? Use appropriate analysis and graph to support your answer. Present graph in word file and interpret.

Answer 1