Bond A is a one-year instrument and Bond B is a two-year instrument. The bonds have very similar default risk and income tax treatment. Currently, the following yields exist on these bonds.
Bond |
Yield |
---|---|
A |
2.75% |
B |
3.75% |
If (holding all else equal) the interest rate that investors expect on one-year instruments next year suddenly
increases
to
5.50%,
investors will become
▼
more likely to sellmore likely to sell
more likely to buymore likely to buy
neither more likely to buy nor more likely to sellneither more likely to buy nor more likely to sell
two-year bonds today. This will cause the yield on two-year bonds today to
▼
increaseincrease
remain unchangedremain unchanged
decreasedecrease
.
1) More likely to sell two year bonds today.
( investors will find one year instruments more attractive since their expected yield in higher than two year instruments now. As a result, they more likely to sell two year instruments today so that they can purchase one year instruments.)
2) Increase
( we already saw that a rise in the expected yield of one year instrument will result in a investors selling them. This means that their supply increase . There will be less demand compared to supply. As a result, price of one year instrument will fall and it will be accompanied by a rise in yield.)
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