Mme. Giselle’s boutique in Cleveland, Ohio, is planning to sell Parisian frocks. If the public views them as the “latest fashion trend,” the frocks are worth $10,000 each. However, if the public views them as something nice but not a major fashion trend, the smocks sell for $2,000 each. If the probability that they’re viewed as a major fashion trend is 20%, what is the expected value of the frocks? What if uncertainty is nearly 80%? Now, let’s take this further. Is this a risky situation, and what can Mme. Giselle do to reduce risk? Please be specific. Show your work.
Please answer and explain! Thanks
Answer:-
Expected Value of Frocks=0.2(10000)+0.8(2000)=3600
Now if uncertaintiy is 0.8 then
Expected Value of frock=0.8(10000)+0.2(2000)=8400
if in case we have uncertainty of 80% then it is not riskier then former case
Mme.Giselle can enter into a contract to hedge this risk by engaging a contract with other traders have different views
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