(Adapted from Chapter 14, Exercise 1, Berck and Helfand 2011) An activity to improve the well-being of some impoverished people will provide benefits of $1 million right now, but will obliterate the Earth in 200 years. The world’s value in 200 years is projected at $1 trillion ($10^12). There are no costs or benefits between those two dates.
Rounded to the nearest dollar, what is the net present value of avoiding the world's destruction in 200 years at a 10 percent discount rate?
We have the following information
Value of World in 200 years = $1 trillion or $1,000,000,000,000
Discount rate = 10% or 0.1 per annum
P = F(P/F, i, n)
F = Future amount at the end of year n
P = Principal amount
n = Number of interest periods
i = Interest rate
F = $1,000,000,000,000
n = 200
i = 10% or 0.1
P = 1,000,000,000,000/(1 + 0.1)200
P = 1,000,000,000,000(P/F, 10%, 200)
P = 1,000,000,000,000/(1.1)200
P = $5,265.78
So, the net present value of avoiding the World’s destruction in 200 years at a discount rate of 10% is $5,265.78
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