In the upcoming year, the income from your current job will be $90,000. There is a .8 chance that you will keep your job and earn this income. However, there is a .2 chance that you will be layed off, forcing you to accept a lower paying job. In this case you income is $10,000. The expected value of your income is thus $74,000. if your utility function has the formula 100I - .0001I^2 determine the risk premium associated with this lottery.
Risk premium is the difference in the amount that the individual is willing to pay for full insurance and the expected loss. Here expected loss is 0.2*(90000 - 10000) = 16000
The most that one can pay for the insurance is the difference between the initial wealth and certainty equivalent. Find the expected utility and the certainty equivalent
Utility is U = 100I - .0001I^2
EU = 0.8*(100*90000 - 0.0001*(90000^2)) + 0.2*(100*10000 - 0.0001*(10000^2)) = 6,750,000
CE is given by
100I - .0001I^2 = 6,750,000
This becomes a quadratic quation
0.0001I^2 - 100I + 6,750,000 = 0
This gives I = 72800.
the maximum individual is willing to pay for full insurance is 90000 - 72800 = 17200
Hence the risk premium is 17200 - 16000 = 1200.
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