Suppose that your site has a current harvest value of $9,000 (if harvested now) or a harvest value of 16,000 if harvested in 10 years, or a harvest value of $25,000 if harvested in 20 years. Annual administrative costs are $10/acre as in problem 4. At harvest, you will install the management regime from problem 4 at the time of harvest. Which option (now, 10 years hence, or 20 years hence) produces the highest NPV. Use a discount rate of 4% here too. Answer: $16,435.57 $ $15,751.12 and $14,667.27
Case 1: Harvest Now
The harvest value is $9000. Since this is the value at the current time period, it is equal to the Present Value or PV.
thus, NPV1=$9000
Case 2: Harvest 10 years hence
Harvest Value of $16000. At a discount rate of 4%, Present Value = 16000/(1+0.04)10= $10810.81
thus, NPV2=$10810.81
Case 3: Hravest 20 years hence
Harvest Value of $25000. At a discount rate of 4%, Present Value = 25000/(1+0.04)20 = $11415.52
thus, NPV3=$11415.52.
Since NPV3 is the highest, we must harvest 20 years from now.
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