Question

You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $4 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is $ . Given that this is , you play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is . (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)

Answer 1