In a large metropolitan area, 30% of the commuters currently use the public transportation system, whereas the remaining 70% commute via automobile. The city has recently revitalized and expanded its public transportation system. It is expected that 6 months from now 30% of those who are now commuting to work via automobile will switch to public transportation, and 70% will continue to commute via automobile. At the same time, it is expected that 20% of those now using public transportation will commute via automobile and 80% will continue to use public transportation.
(a) Construct the transition matrix for the Markov chain that describes the change in the mode of transportation used by these commuters.
P A | ||||||
T | = |
|
_____ _____ _____ _____ |
(b) Find the initial distribution vector for this Markov chain.
X0 |
= |
_____ _____ |
(c) What percentage of the commuters are expected to use public
transportation 6 months from now? (Round your answer to the nearest
percent.)
%________
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