Consider the following time series data.
Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Value | 18 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 14 |
Calculate the measures of forecast error using the naive (most recent value) method and the average of historical data (to 2 decimals).
Naive method | Historical data | |
Mean absolute error | ||
Mean squared error | ||
Mean absolute percentage error |
Which method provides the most accurate forecasts?
SelectNaiveHistorical dataItem 7
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