Assume that today is January 1, 2021. Assume that you are a management consultant. One of your clients comes to you for advice. Your client has the opportunity to buy a small business. The purchase must be made today.
What do you think the business is worth given the projected financial statements? The lease on the building that houses the business will expire on December 31, 2023 at 11:59 p.m. It cannot be renewed. In other words, the business only has a life of 3 years. All assets will be sold on December 31, 2023.
Assume that investments of like risk are giving a 10% return every year.
Balance Sheetas of December 31
ASSETS : 2020 2021 2022 2023
Current Assets
Cash $ 50 150 250
0
Accounts Receivable 100 100 100
0
Inventory 150 250 250 0
TOTAL 300 500 600 0
Fixed Assets
Net Plant and Equipment 2000
1900 1800
0
TOTAL ASSETS 2300
2400 2400
0
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
______________________________________________________________________________
Current Liabilities
Accounts payable 100 100
100 0
Notes payable 200 200
200 0
Total 300 300
300 0
Long-term debt 0 0 0 0
Stockholders' Equity:
Common Stock and Paid-in Surplus 100 100 100 0
Retained Earnings 1900
2000 2000 0
Total Stockholder’s Eq 2000
2100 2100 0
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQ 2300
2400 2400
0
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INCOME STATEMENT
as of December 31
2021 2022 2023
Net Sales 1,000
2,000
3,000
Cost-of-goods sold 600 1200 1500
Depreciation 100 100 100
Earnings before interest and taxes 300
700
1400
Interest 0 0 0
Taxable Income 300
700
1400
Taxes 50 200 300
Net Income 250 500 1100
Retained Earnings 100 0 0
Dividends 150
500 3100
ANSWER:
The Present Value of investment is $2,878.66
This is the worth of business
The company has a lifespan of 3 years.
For such investments, the valuation should be based on the dividend payments and not on Profitability.
Dividend at end of 1st year = 150 = D1
Dividend at end of 2nd year = 500 = D2
Dividend at end of 3rd year = 3100 = D3
Interest rate = 10%
Value of such business = (D1/0.1) + (D2/(0.1)^2) + (D3/(0.1)^3)
= (150/1.1) + (500/(1.1)^2) + (3100/(1.1)^3)
= 136.3636 + 413.2231 + 2329.0759
= 2,878.6626
The Present Value of investment is $2,878.66
This is the worth of business
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