Our study shows that one customer will have different transaction values in the next five years with Giant Tiger (See Table 6). The gross contribution is 0.25 and discount rate is 0.01. Suppose current year is 2006. Please figure out the Lifetime Value (LTV) of this customer. Suppose we have total 2000 customers who will share the same purchase patterns as this customer in the next five years. How much is the customer equity?
Table 6. Future Transaction
Gross contribution |
0.25 |
||||
Discount rate |
0.01 |
||||
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
|
$ Amount |
700 |
600 |
500 |
400 |
500 |
GC |
|||||
LTV |
2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | |
$ Amount (a) | 700 | 600 | 500 | 400 | 500 |
Gross contribution (b) | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
GC (c=a*b) | 175 | 150 | 125 | 100 | 125 |
Discount rate (d) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Years (e) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
LTV (f=c/(1+d)^e) | 173.27 | 147.04 | 121.32 | 96.10 | 118.93 |
CE= 173.27+147.04+121.32+96.10+118.93= $656.67 | |||||
FORMULA | |||||
GC = $ Amount X Gross contribution | |||||
LTV = GC/(1+Discount rate )^YEAR |
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