Company CT will have a growth rate of 30 percent for 3 years. after that, the company will grow at 25 percent for five years. The company will have a growth rate for 15 percent for ten years. Then the company will have a constant growth rate of 10 percent. The required rate of return of investors for this company is 15 percent. if the company just paid a a dividend of 0.50 , what should be the stock price of this company
Stock price of company should be $ 41.67
As per dividend discount method, current share price is the present value of future dividends. | ||||||
Step-1:Present value of dividend of non-constant growth years | ||||||
Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
a | b | c=1.15^-a | d=b*c | |||
1 | $ 0.65 | 0.8696 | $ 0.57 | |||
2 | $ 0.85 | 0.7561 | $ 0.64 | |||
3 | $ 1.10 | 0.6575 | $ 0.72 | |||
4 | $ 1.37 | 0.5718 | $ 0.79 | |||
5 | $ 1.72 | 0.4972 | $ 0.85 | |||
6 | $ 2.15 | 0.4323 | $ 0.93 | |||
7 | $ 2.68 | 0.3759 | $ 1.01 | |||
8 | $ 3.35 | 0.3269 | $ 1.10 | |||
9 | $ 3.86 | 0.2843 | $ 1.10 | |||
10 | $ 4.43 | 0.2472 | $ 1.10 | |||
11 | $ 5.10 | 0.2149 | $ 1.10 | |||
12 | $ 5.86 | 0.1869 | $ 1.10 | |||
13 | $ 6.74 | 0.1625 | $ 1.10 | |||
14 | $ 7.75 | 0.1413 | $ 1.10 | |||
15 | $ 8.92 | 0.1229 | $ 1.10 | |||
16 | $ 10.25 | 0.1069 | $ 1.10 | |||
17 | $ 11.79 | 0.0929 | $ 1.10 | |||
18 | $ 13.56 | 0.0808 | $ 1.10 | |||
Total | $ 17.56 | |||||
Working; | ||||||
Dividend of Year : | ||||||
1 | = | $ 0.50 | * | 1.30 | = | $ 0.65 |
2 | = | $ 0.65 | * | 1.30 | = | $ 0.85 |
3 | = | $ 0.85 | * | 1.30 | = | $ 1.10 |
4 | = | $ 1.10 | * | 1.25 | = | $ 1.37 |
5 | = | $ 1.37 | * | 1.25 | = | $ 1.72 |
6 | = | $ 1.72 | * | 1.25 | = | $ 2.15 |
7 | = | $ 2.15 | * | 1.25 | = | $ 2.68 |
8 | = | $ 2.68 | * | 1.25 | = | $ 3.35 |
9 | = | $ 3.35 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 3.86 |
10 | = | $ 3.86 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 4.43 |
11 | = | $ 4.43 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 5.10 |
12 | = | $ 5.10 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 5.86 |
13 | = | $ 5.86 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 6.74 |
14 | = | $ 6.74 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 7.75 |
15 | = | $ 7.75 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 8.92 |
16 | = | $ 8.92 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 10.25 |
17 | = | $ 10.25 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 11.79 |
18 | = | $ 11.79 | * | 1.15 | = | $ 13.56 |
Step-2:Calculation of terminal value of dividend at the end of non-constant growth years | ||||||
Terminal value | = | D18*(1+g)/(Ke-g)*DF18 | Where, | |||
= | $ 24.11 | D18(Dividend of year 18) | = | $ 13.56 | ||
g (Growth rate in dividend) | = | 10% | ||||
Ke (Required return) | = | 15% | ||||
DF18 (Discount factor of year 18) | = | 0.0808 | ||||
Step-3:Sum of present value of future dividends | ||||||
Sum of present value of future dividends | = | $ 17.56 | + | $ 24.11 | ||
= | $ 41.67 | |||||
So, Price of stock is | $ 41.67 |
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