Question

A sample of 20 cars was taken, and the miles per gallon (MPG), horsepower, and total...

A sample of 20 cars was taken, and the miles per gallon (MPG), horsepower, and total weight were recorded.

Develop a simple regression model to predict the dependent variable, MPG, using horsepower as the independent variable.

Develop a simple regression model to predict the dependent variable, MPG, using weight as the independent variable.

Using R², which of the 2 causal forecasting models, A or B, is better?

Develop a multiple regression model to predict the dependent variable, MPG, using horsepower and weight as the 2 independent variables.

Using R², how does the multiple regression model compare with each of the 2 simple regression models?

MPG (Y)

HORSEPOWER (X1)

WEIGHT (X2)

44

67

1844

44

50

1998

40

62

1752

37

69

1980

37

66

1797

34

63

2199

35

90

2404

32

99

2611

30

63

3236

28

91

2606

26

94

2580

26

88

2507

25

124

2922

22

97

2434

20

114

3248

21

102

2812

18

114

3382

18

142

3197

16

153

4380

16

139

4036

plz do it in excel.

Homework Answers

Answer #1

1.Simple Regression Model

MPG – Dependent Variable

Horse Power – Independent Variable

The model is

Here, Y is the dependent Variable and X is the independent Variabe

Coefficients

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

53.87238

15.73808

5.76E-12

X Variable 1

-0.26945

-7.76704

3.72E-07

Multiple R

0.877607

R Square

0.770194

Adjusted R Square

0.757427

Standard Error

4.481278

Observations

20

2.Simple Regression Model

MPG – Dependent Variable

Weights – Independent Variable

The model is

Here, Y is the dependent Variable and X is the independent Variable

Coefficients

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

57.53293

13.44194

7.96E-11

X Variable 1

-0.01079

-7.02253

1.49E-06

Multiple R

0.855923

R Square

0.732604

Adjusted R Square

0.717749

Standard Error

4.833909

Observations

20

Using R², which of the 2 causal forecasting models, A or B, is better?

3.

Variables

R-Squared

HorsePower (as independent variable)

0.770194

Weights(as Independent variable)

0.732604

The R-squared indicates 77.01% of variations in MPG is explained by the Horse power in the regression model, whereas, 73.26% of variations in MPG is explained by the weights. Hence, the regression model using horse power as independent variable is the better model comparing with the other regression model where weights have been used as independent variable.

4.Multiple Regression model

The model is

Y is the dependent Variable MPG

X1- is the Horse power using as independent variable

X2 is the Weights using as another independent variable

Coefficients

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

57.68586

15.79907

1.36E-11

X Variable 1

-0.16567

-2.78213

0.012777

X Variable 2

-0.00505

-2.06455

0.054568

Multiple R

0.903472

R Square

0.816262

Adjusted R Square

0.794646

Standard Error

4.123182

Observations

20

5.

Variables

R-Squared

HorsePower (as independent variable) – Model 1

0.770194

Weights(as Independent variable) Model-2

0.732604

Model 3 ( Horse power, and Weights as independent variables)

0.816262

The R-squared indicates 77.01% of variations in MPG is explained by the Horse power in the regression model, whereas, 73.26% of variations in MPG is explained by the weights. Hence, the regression model using horse power as independent variable is the better model comparing with the regression model where weights have been used as independent variable.

But the multiple regression model where horsepower and weights are used as independent variables shows the R-squared value as 0.816262. It indicates that the variations in MPG is better explained by combining both the variables such as horse power and weights. It implies that 81.62% of the variations in MPG is explained by the combination of both horse power and weights.

Therefore, the better model that can explain the variations more in the dependent variable is the multiple regression model.

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