Discounted Cash Flows Valuation An analyst makes the following forecasts of cash flows for a firm with $2.5 billion of debt at the end of 2015 (in millions of dollars): 2016 2017 2018 Cash from operations 1,439 1,726 1,894 Cash investments 539 624 834 He forecasts that free cash flows will grow at 4% per year after 2018. Using a required return for operations of 10%, value each of the firms 2,453 million outstanding shares.
2. Simple Valuation An analyst forecasts that a stock’s dividends per share will be $2.00 in the coming year, and further expects dividends to grow at a rate of 3% per year indefinitely after that. Investors require a return of at least 9% for the stock. Value this stock.
1) | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | |
Cash from operations | 1439 | 1726 | 1894 | ||
Cash investment | 539 | 624 | 834 | ||
Free cash flow | 900 | 1102 | 1060 | ||
PVIF at 10% | 1 | 0.90909 | 0.82645 | 0.75131 | |
PV at 10% | 818 | 911 | 796 | ||
Cumulative PV years 1 to 3 | 2525 | ||||
Continuing value = 1060*1.04/(0.10-0.04) = | 18373 | ||||
PV of terminal value = 18373*0.75131 = | 13804 | ||||
Value of the firm | 16329 | ||||
Value of debt | 2500 | ||||
Value of common equity | 13829 | ||||
Number of shares | 2453 | ||||
Value of one share | $ 5.64 | ||||
2) | Value of the stock using the constant dividend growth model = 2/(0.09-0.03) = | $ 33.33 |
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